Cobra每日复盘14/06
Huge Gap Down Tomorrow or the 3rd Time is Charm?SHORT-TERM: THE REST OF THE WEEK MIGHT NOT BE PLEASANT
是不是low was in了？还需要看几天，我个人暂时认为这只是个反弹，因此是sell的机会。主要理由有二：
06/03 Market Outlook的统计，weekly IWM Bearish Engulfing and SPX down 5 consecutive weeks，意味着下周不好玩。
According to Stock Trader’s Almanac, week after June Triple Witching, Dow down 11 in a row and 18 of last 20, average loss since 1990, 1.2%.
关于明天早盘，下面的图很有趣。今天收盘最后一小时整的Bearish Engulfing意味着明天大低开的可能性很大。牛牛要问的问题是，是否第三次会不一样？http://www.hutong9.net/data/attachment/forum/201106/14/201833v46yonhcch7hvtlh.png
关于本周剩下的3天，我目前搜集到的证据是，顶多再涨一天，明天或者后天。
为什么说明天或者后天顶多涨一天？两个理由：
NYADV太高，见下图，明天跌的机率大，顶多小涨。如果明天涨的话，后天会跌。http://www.hutong9.net/data/attachment/forum/201106/14/2018325gjlbtrlby6r5ti6.png
ISEE Indices & ETFs Only Index < ISEE Equities Only Index AND ISEE Indices & ETFs Only Index >= 100, 今天收盘short，hold until the very first down day, 自2006年ISEE Indices & ETFs Only Index诞生以来，你有74%的机会。注意到winner平均是1.8天，所以可以理解成最迟后天要跌。http://www.hutong9.net/data/attachment/forum/201106/14/201831pxx8pnpp2a3pz44p.png
那么为啥说周五会跌呢？理由是Stock Trader’s Almanac, June Triple Witching Day, Dow down 7 of last 12, average loss 0.5%. 另外，从下图看，好像最近几个周五都不怎么牛牛友好哈。http://www.hutong9.net/data/attachment/forum/201106/14/201829a6tj8q26672cjjbc.png
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